Colgate
W-L: ( 5-10) PR = 81.3429Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A St Bonaventure Atlantic 10 (11- 8, 82.4) 14-12 214 A Niagara Metro Atlan ( 8- 9, 78.4) 16-10 221 H Binghamton America Eas ( 6- 9, 80.0) 13-16 228 A Johns Hopkins Big Ten (17- 5, 94.2) 6-24 304 A Penn State Big Ten (12- 7, 93.3) 8-20 307 H Albany America Eas (12- 6, 84.2) 13-16 314 A American Patriot ( 4-12, 78.8) 11-10 321 H Lafayette Patriot ( 5-10, 79.1) 20-13 325 A Bucknell Patriot (10- 7, 84.0) 10-12 328 H Holy Cross Patriot ( 7-10, 83.6) 13-17 404 H Lehigh Patriot ( 6-10, 80.4) 20-16 411 A Loyola (MD) Patriot (12- 8, 89.5) 11-18 415 A Boston University Patriot ( 8-10, 84.5) 10-15 418 H Navy Patriot (20- 2, 93.0) 7-23 422 H Army Patriot (15- 5, 91.5) 6-21
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A St Bonaventure 14-12 2 -2 ++ 4.42
214 A Niagara 16-10 6 2 ++ 4.37
221 H Binghamton 13-16 -3 3 -- -5.70
228 A Johns Hopkins 6-24 -18 -14 0.00
304 A Penn State 8-20 -12 -13 1.37
307 H Albany 13-16 -3 -2 -1.50
314 A American 11-10 1 1 -0.14
321 H Lafayette 20-13 7 4 + 3.38
325 A Bucknell 10-12 -2 -4 + 2.05
328 H Holy Cross 13-17 -4 -1 - -3.10
404 H Lehigh 20-16 4 2 1.65
411 A Loyola (MD) 11-18 -7 -10 + 2.56
415 A Boston University 10-15 -5 -5 -0.43
418 H Navy 7-23 -16 -10 - -3.68
422 H Army 6-21 -15 -9 -- -5.26
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 221 H Binghamton 13-16 -3 3 -- -5.70 422 H Army 6-21 -15 -9 -- -5.26 328 H Holy Cross 13-17 -4 -1 - -3.10 418 H Navy 7-23 -16 -10 - -3.68 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 206 A St Bonaventure 14-12 2 -2 ++ 4.42 214 A Niagara 16-10 6 2 ++ 4.37 321 H Lafayette 20-13 7 4 + 3.38 325 A Bucknell 10-12 -2 -4 + 2.05 411 A Loyola (MD) 11-18 -7 -10 + 2.56 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A St Bonaventure (11- 8, 82.4) 14-12 -17.51 22.66 1.37 1.15 55.50
3 A Niagara ( 8- 9, 78.4) 16-10 -21.55 18.62 1.37 1.15 46.16
3 H Binghamton ( 6- 9, 80.0) 13-16 -19.89 20.27 -1.37 1.15 -12.28
3 A Johns Hopkins (17- 5, 94.2) 6-24 -5.68 34.49 1.37 1.15 -2.49
3 A Penn State (12- 7, 93.3) 8-20 -6.55 33.61 1.37 1.15 -2.99
3 H Albany (12- 6, 84.2) 13-16 -15.69 24.48 -1.37 1.15 -9.85
3 A American ( 4-12, 78.8) 11-10 -21.06 19.11 1.37 1.15 47.29
3 H Lafayette ( 5-10, 79.1) 20-13 -20.80 19.36 -1.37 1.15 41.57
3 A Bucknell (10- 7, 84.0) 10-12 -15.88 24.29 1.37 1.15 -8.38
3 H Holy Cross ( 7-10, 83.6) 13-17 -16.29 23.88 -1.37 1.15 -10.20
3 H Lehigh ( 6-10, 80.4) 20-16 -19.54 20.63 -1.37 1.15 44.49
3 A Loyola (MD) (12- 8, 89.5) 11-18 -10.37 29.80 1.37 1.15 -5.20
3 A Boston Univers ( 8-10, 84.5) 10-15 -15.36 24.81 1.37 1.15 -8.08
3 H Navy (20- 2, 93.0) 7-23 -6.87 33.29 -1.37 1.15 -4.76
3 H Army (15- 5, 91.5) 6-21 -8.45 31.72 -1.37 1.15 -5.67
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165.13
|
winning pts = 235.0137 losing points = -69.8801
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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